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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

March 2013 Visa Bulletin Summary

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Thanks to Nicolette Davis at our firm for the help:


March Visa Bulletin Summary:


Family
1st - World numbers, China and India advanced one month to 15
February 06; Mexico advanced one week to 22 July 93; the Philippines jumped 8 months
and a week to 15 October 98.


Family 2A - World numbers, China, India, and the Philippines advanced one
month to 22 November 10; Mexico moved one month and one week to 15 November 10.


Family 2B - World numbers, China, and India moved one month
and 2 weeks to 01 March 05; Mexico moved forward one month to 15 January 93;
the Philippines advanced three weeks to 08 June 02.


Family 3rd - World numbers, China, and India moved forward one
week to 15 July 02; Mexico moved one week to 15 March 93; the Philippines moved
forward 3 weeks to 15 September 92.


Family 4th - World numbers, China and India moved forward one
week to 22 April 01; Mexico advanced 2 weeks to 15 August 96; the Philippines advanced
one month and 2 weeks to 15 July 89.


Employment 1st - still current in all categories.


Employment 2nd - World numbers, Mexico and the Philippines
are still current; China moved forward a month to 15 February 08; India remains
stalled at 01 September 04.


Employment 3rd - World numbers, Mexico advanced one month and
2 weeks to 01 May 07; the Philippines moved forward two weeks to 01 September
06; China moved 2 months and 1 week to 22 January 07; India advanced one week
to 22 November 02.


Employment 3rd Other Workers - World numbers, Mexico advanced
one month and 2 weeks to 01 May 07; the Philippines moved forward two weeks to 01
September 06; China remains stalled at 01 July 03; India advanced one week to
22 November 02.


Employment 4th - still current in all categories.


Employment 5th - still current in all categories.


Also, here's the DOS prognostication on future availability:


VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS (April - June)

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)


Worldwide dates:
F1:  Three or four weeks
F2A: Three to five weeks
F2B: Three to five weeks
F3:  One or two weeks
F4:  Up to two weeks


EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)


Employment First:  Current


Employment Second:


Worldwide:  Current


China:  Three to six weeks 


India:  No movement.  Despite the
established cut-off date having been held for the past five months in an
effort to keep
demand within the average monthly usage
targets, the amount of demand being received from U.S. Citizenship and
Immigration
Services (USCIS) Offices for adjustment of
status cases remains extremely high.  Should the current rate of demand
continue,
it is likely that at some point the
cut-off date will need to be retrogressed in an effort to hold demand
within the FY-2013
annual limit.  


Employment Third:


Worldwide:    Four to six weeks
China:        Two to three months
India:        Up to two weeks
Mexico:       Four to six weeks
Philippines:  Up to one week


Employment Fourth:  Current

Employment Fifth:  Current

Item
D of the December 2012 Visa Bulletin alerted readers that a China
cut-off date might be imposed at some point during
the second half of the fiscal year. 
Currently there is no reason to believe that it will be necessary to
establish a China
Employment Fifth preference category
cut-off date during FY-2013, since demand over first six months of
FY-2013 has now averaged
out to a manageable level.


The above projections for the Family and
Employment categories are for what is likely to happen during each of
the next few
months based on current applicant demand
patterns.  Readers should never assume that recent trends in cut-off
date movements
are guaranteed for the future.  The
determination of the actual monthly cut-off dates is subject to
fluctuations in applicant
demand and a number of other variables
which can change at any time.  Those categories with a "Current"
projection will remain
so for the foreseeable future.  


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Comments

  1. S's Avatar
    So much for HR3012 opponents for suggesting that EB2I will become current or stay current.
  2. CIR2013's Avatar
    OBAMA WE NEED DA CIR TO PASS!!
  3. JC's Avatar
    @S: Isn't it interesting how we predict future but once the future is here we don't dare talk about what was supposed to happen!

    Oh well!
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