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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

January Visa Bulletin Rundown

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Big jumps again for India and China EB-2. But be warned - DOS may retrogress or make unavailable those numbers soon so if you have an adjustment to file, don't dawdle.


Here is our summary:


Family 1st - World numbers, China and India have jumped six weeks to 15 October 04; 1 week advance for Mexico to 15 April 93; Philippines advanced six weeks to 15 April 97.


Family 2A - World numbers, China, India, and the Philippines have jumped a month to 22 April 09; Mexico advanced more than six weeks to 22 March 09.


Family 2B - World numbers, China, India advanced 3 weeks to 08 September 03; Mexico moved a week and a half to 01 December 92; Philippines advanced two weeks to 01 September 01.


Family 3rd - World numbers, China, India jumped three and a half weeks to 01 November 01; 1 week advance for Mexico to 22 December 92; Philippines moved one week to 15 July 92.


Family 4th - World numbers, China, India jumped one month to 15 August 00; Mexico advanced one week to 08 May 96; Philippines jumped one month to 08 October 88.


Employment 1st - still current in all categories.


Employment 2nd - World numbers, Mexico, Philippines still current, China and India jumped nine and a half months to 01 January 09.


Employment 3rd - World numbers, Mexico, Philippines advanced three weeks to 01 February 06; China jumped five weeks to 15 October 04; India moved one week to 08 Aug 02.


Employment 3rd Other Workers - World numbers, Mexico, Philippines jumped one month to 01 February 06; China stalled at 22 April 03; one and a half week advance for India to 01 August 02.


Employment 4th - still current in all categories.


Employment 5th - still current in all categories. 

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Comments

  1. Paul W's Avatar
    How did EB-3-ROW-M-P advance three weeks when it moved from Jan 15th to Feb 1?
  2. Sa's Avatar
    I have a question about whole "estimating the demand" approach. Should they not make EB2 current if they don't have enough demand?
  3. JoeF's Avatar
    @Sa: That's pretty easy: they don't know the demand. They advance the PD to get applications, to fill the pipeline. Depending on how many they get, they can see if they can advance the PD more or if they need to slow it down or retrogress.
    I am sure they don't want to repeat the July 2007 situation, so they do things more gradually.
    Given the recession of 2008/2009, there may not be all that many applications, so I can see the EB2 PD go up to late 2009/early 2010. But that is of course just a guess at this point.
  4. Sa's Avatar
    "Depending on how many they get, they can see if they can advance the PD more or if they need to slow it down or retrogress.
    I am sure they don't want to repeat the July 2007 situation, so they do things more gradually.
    Given the recession of 2008/2009, there may not be all that many applications, so I can see the EB2 PD go up to late 2009/early 2010. But that is of course just a guess at this point."

    I understand what they are trying to do but not sure if the law gives them the flexibility to "estimate the demand" and "fill the pipeline".
  5. Another Voice's Avatar
    Sen. Michael Bennet Unveils STEM Visa Act To Help Promote High-Skilled Domestic Labor

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/12/13/sen-michael-bennet-unveil_n_1146857.html?ref=latino-voices&ir=Latino%20Voices
  6. Nurse Waiting's Avatar
    "Sen. Michael Bennet Unveils STEM Visa Act To Help Promote High-Skilled Domestic Labor"

    This isn't going anywhere. As soon as Dream is in there, its dead. I guess they must have some benefit by introducing legislation that they know will not go anywhere.
  7. JoeF's Avatar
    That Bennet bill probably won't go anywhere.
    There also was a bill introduced in the Senate based on HR3012, but with Irish E-3 and amnesty for Irish attached. I don't think that will go anywhere, either. Amnesty is a red flag for Republicans, and then, why only for the Irish? That looks rather racist...
  8. Limbo's Avatar
    "There also was a bill introduced in the Senate based on HR3012, but with Irish E-3 and amnesty for Irish attached. I don't think that will go anywhere, either. Amnesty is a red flag for Republicans, and then, why only for the Irish? That looks rather racist..."

    The whole Irish E3 thing just seems so bizarre honestly. Schumer justifies it by saying that they have been a steadfast ally. Fine, then give out E3 visas to all of America's steadfast Allies then if that is the criteria. What about the British? Canadians? Danes? Dutch? Germans? Israelis? Kuwaitis? ... you get the picture. Singling out one nationality simply because they have "connections" in congress is corruption, plain and simple.
  9. Greg Siskind's Avatar
    Limbo - Normally I would agree, but we have a 200 year history of negotiating bilateral investment treaties, many of which have immigration provisions (resulting in visa categories like the TN, E-1 and E-2 that are nationality specific). I'm a free trade advocate and the more we can open up trade channels, the better. We have treaties with immigration benefits with more than 60 countries in all regions of the world. The more of these categories that are out there, the less pressure we'll see in the H-1B category. Now whether the Irish E-3 language will hurt the chances of 3012 passing, I can't say. I have not heard much about how the House 3012 sponsors feel about that language yet.
  10. Sa's Avatar
    "The whole Irish E3 thing just seems so bizarre honestly. Schumer justifies it by saying that they have been a steadfast ally. Fine, then give out E3 visas to all of America's steadfast Allies then if that is the criteria. What about the British? Canadians? Danes? Dutch? Germans? Israelis? Kuwaitis? ... you get the picture. Singling out one nationality simply because they have "connections" in congress is corruption, plain and simple."

    Germans and British at the same level as allies of the USA...? ROFL
  11. Sa's Avatar
    I think we can declare the death of HR 3012 as we know it .

    http://www.aila.org/content/fileviewer.aspx?docid=37451&linkid=241379

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