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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

OCTOBER VISA BULLETIN IS OUT

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Here are my notes from the latest State Department Visa Bulletin in comparison to last month's:


Family 1st- modest improvements across the board
Family 2A - Solid improvements; world numbers jump from January 2010 to April 2010; Mexico moves up a year to January 2010.
Family 2B - Solid improvements; world numbers jump from January 2005 to April 2005; Mexico moves up only a week to 22 June 1992. The Philippines moves up a month to September 2002.
Family 3rd - Solid improvements; Most countries advance two months to May 2002. Mexico moves up six months to October 1992. The Philippines advances two months to March 1995.
Family 4th - Solid improvements; six week jump for most countries to December 2001. Nearly two year jump for Mexico to December 1995. Four month jump for Philippines to April 1991.


Employment 1st - still current in all categories
Employment 2nd - weak movement for India and China; just a two week improvement and still stuck in May 2006.
Employment 3rd - weak movement; three week advance for most countries; Mexico is available again
Employment 3rd Other Workers - stuck except for two week improvement for China
Employment 4th - still current in all categories
Employment 5th - still current in all categories

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Comments

  1. USC's Avatar
    After the lightening advance over the last 5 months, with the start of a new year there was concern that the FB/EB categories might experience retrogression.

    That has not happened and this would lead me to believe that Visa numbers once again might have been wasted.

    It is likely that the FB demand is going abegging because the illegals are losing their place in line. State needs to move the PDs more agressively commencing in October itself. We are in a new paradigm and it might be worthwhile to move the family categories 3 months at a time and then see what happens. State cans always retrogress if there is too much demand. We need bold measures from the Administration, given the Legislature's unwillingness to do their jobs!
  2. My 2 cents's Avatar
    USC, the FB numbers are moving b'cos US has lost it's clout as the go to destination. People with current PD's are well settled in their home countries & do want to start from scratch especially when the economy is on the brink of a double dip.
  3. My 2 cents's Avatar
    @USC, the FB numbers are moving b'cos US has lost it's clout as the go to destination. People with current PD's are well settled in their home countries & do not want to start from scratch especially when the economy is on the brink of a double dip.

    I do agree on an agressive approach in moving the numbers, it's likely that after 2005 the FB demand has dropped significantly in Catefories 3 & 4.
  4. USC's Avatar
    "USC, the FB numbers are moving b'cos US has lost it's clout as the go to destination. People with current PD's are well settled in their home countries & do want to start from scratch especially when the economy is on the brink of a double dip."

    I agree. Further, the US never came out of the recession/depression. The positive figure that prompted the Economists to declare the recession over was just a blip/glitch.
  5. Waiting4GC's Avatar
    Any forward movement is good. DOS issues demand data every month, and USCIS issues inventory data (they have not since May and I am looking forward for the recent one), unless USCIS includes how many visas were issued along with inventory data I think there is no way we can figure out hiw many visas were wasted. I believe USCIS has this data(number of visa issued per category/country) as well but i dont think they will publish them to embarass itself. So much for gov transperency.

    EB3ROW should have been some where around late 2006 by now but its no where close and dont look like it will progress even in this fiscal year. DOS demand data helps us to do some real math and help estimate when should one expect to be current and at the same time USCIS lack of openness and/or its name itself makes us believe its impossible I have very very long wait, will i get before i retire is the question.
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