ILW.COM - the immigration portal Immigration Daily

Home Page


Immigration Daily

Archives

Processing times

Immigration forms

Discussion board

Resources

Blogs

Twitter feed

Immigrant Nation

Attorney2Attorney

CLE Workshops

Immigration books

Advertise on ILW

VIP Network

EB-5

移民日报

About ILW.COM

Connect to us

Make us Homepage

Questions/Comments


SUBSCRIBE

Immigration Daily


Chinese Immig. Daily




The leading
immigration law
publisher - over
50000 pages of
free information!
Copyright
1995-
ILW.COM,
American
Immigration LLC.

View RSS Feed

Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

REID'S MATH

Rate this Entry

Harry Reid told a Las Vegas rally yesterday he can get 56 Democratic votes for immigration reform with three voting no. According to the NY Times he also said "I want a handful of Republicans, a few Republicans, let them step forward...There is no excuse."

There are two basic numbers Reid needs to consider. First, how many votes he would get in favor of reform. Second, how many Senators would vote to filibuster such legislation. The two numbers do not necessarily add up to 100. There are some who could vote against reform, but would also support the legislation at least being permitted an up or down vote. So Republicans straddling the fence on this issue - people like John McCain, Scott Brown, or Olympia Snowe, could have it both ways.

One question is whether Reid will demand public support from more Republicans or would be satisfied with private assurances that while a particular GOP Senator won't co-sponsor or even vote for the bill, he or she will also not stand in the way of a majority vote.

Submit "REID'S MATH" to Facebook Submit "REID'S MATH" to Twitter Submit "REID'S MATH" to Google Submit "REID'S MATH" to StumbleUpon Submit "REID'S MATH" to Reddit Submit "REID'S MATH" to Digg Submit "REID'S MATH" to del.icio.us

Tags: None Add / Edit Tags

Comments

  1. Nitin's Avatar
    Greg,

    This sounds really interesting; there might be a ray of hope there. But it remains to be seen whether the Democrats will take serious action to bring this to the Senate. We have seen a lot of posturing on this important item but not much more than that.
  2. Another Voice's Avatar
    Interesting math.... I guess they have to answer the political question WHY. Why would some republicans support or not stand in the way of the dems, the ones that have a reason to give Obama this victory or rely on some hispanic votes to get elected may support it!!! How would the antis play this when it comes to arguing that with this high unemployment is no time to do immigration!!!! Some Unions may play that angle too, with this elections close is hard to predict if they would want to take this up, but Reid absolutely needs the Hispanic vote in Nevada to get elected and he sort of holds the cards. However with Finreg, Supreme Court nominee... CIR seems too much for such little time.
  3. Matthew Kolken's Avatar
    Check out this Blog post from FeetintwoWorlds.org: Sen. Reid Says Immigration Reform Can't Wait, But Many Are Sceptical: http://bit.ly/b4BgDa
  4. Lisa Smith's Avatar
    Senator Majority Leader 4 NOW Harry Reid WE DON'T WANT U 2 MAKE ANY MORE(BROKEN)PROMISES/WORDS WE WANT U 2 PASS A HUMANE COMPREHENSIVE IMMIGRATION REFORM(HCIR)/DREAM ACT LAW/LEGISLATION RIGHT NOW NO MORE EXCUSES!!!
  5. LFWF's Avatar
    Lisa,

    Reid does not pass it. 60 Senators do.
    Use that passion and anger to hound your senator or others that won't listen.
  6. John's Avatar
    November strategy, winning mantra, Reid is talking to Hispanics of Nevada, he might try to bring to the floor and he will CRY OUT LOUD saying "I tried" to the Nevadans.

    Whats surprising is the humor of CIR being introduced sometimes next week, after HCR and now to Financial Reform every body will be tired to death and dont want to take up any controversial issues well at least until November (this has been the case for long long time), they always say in next congress,and the pattern continues.. There is no right time for CIR, Reid and democrats needs guts to stand up for CIR whatever shape or size it might be LEGAL/ILLEGAL immigrants.
  7. USC's Avatar
    With Justice Steven's retirement another problem for Senator Reid is the Sebate calendar. Given that election day is the earliest possible (November 2, 2010), the Senate is going to have adjourn earlier than usual. Also consider that the Senate will be in recess for a week in June, a week in July and for month in August. Basically, that leaves 4.5 months for the Senate to confirm Justice Steven's, pass Financial Reform and then maybe attempt CIR. If the Can's decide to filibuster, Justice Steven's replacement that might consume most of the time remaining. The Can's could also gum up the works by trying to send the CIR bill to the Judiciary Committee rather than allowing the bill to go directly to the floor.
  8. Another Voice's Avatar
    "Basically, that leaves 4.5 months for the Senate to confirm Justice Steven's, pass Financial Reform and then maybe attempt CIR. "

    I agree the only chance that CIR may have is the so called
    "November strategy". By then Reid's faith would have been decided politically!!
  9. My 2 cents's Avatar
    "I agree the only chance that CIR may have is the so called
    "November strategy". By then Reid's faith would have been decided politically!!"

    November strategy only plausible if they are done with CJ confirmation, financial reform & possibly a jobs bill. My best guess CIR would be tabled in the Senate & would die there just as in the past citing mid term elections. I do not see a sincere effort from WH & the Dems coming until 2012 in time for reelection. That is when Obama needs the Latinos.


Put Free Immigration Law Headlines On Your Website

Immigration Daily: the news source for legal professionals. Free! Join 35000+ readers Enter your email address here: