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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

THE OPTIMISTS

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Readers know that I'm the eternal optimist and I really believe that we're going to see improvements in our immigration system soon.

It's nice to see that while the wimps are panicking and ready to pack it all in after the Republicans picked up ONE additional seat (and given Brown's sudden bolt to the left just one day after getting elected, it's not even clear he's a no vote anymore on CIR), at least a couple of pundits are making the case that we're still on track for CIR in the near term.

Here's Markos Moulitsas' take from The Hill.

The Wall Street Journal reports that Democratic/Republican negotiations behind the scenes on immigration may save the bill. 

From America's Voice: Why Immigration Reform's Obituary is Premature

So cheer up and get ready to get back to work.

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  1. Jack's Avatar
    Here is the immigration analysis from Politico:

    Immigration reform is probably a goner. But Republicans - no longer free to stand by while Democats muster their own 60 votes - may help out on war funding and other national security issues.


    Here's the outlook for five major agenda items as Brown finds his way to the back of the Senate chamber:


    5. Immigration: Talk about toxic issues - immigration would seem to be untouchable in this environment, but the White House floated a trial balloon last month at the behest of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, saying that some immigration bill could get done this year.


    Don't bank on it. Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), is pushing for an immigration bill of some kind, but there are even fewer potential Republican crossover votes. John McCain (R-Ariz.), once a leading Republican on immigration, isn't playing ball on the issue. But Graham has expressed an interest in working with Schumer - although it's not clear if any immigration bill could have a path to citizenship, or what opponents will deem amnesty for illegal immigrants.

    http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=49669985-18FE-70B2-A89E38A647CF5676
  2. Another Voice's Avatar
    The articles present fair points but one must be realistic about the true possibilities of the dems taking on Immigration reform. I consider my self an optimist also but I will not trump my own horn to hear what I want to hear and ignore reality, the articles put this as a possibility admitting that its an uphill battle.
  3. gg's Avatar
    Prospects of CIR - Counterpunch


    http://www.counterpunch.org/lawrence01212010.html
  4. Jack's Avatar
    That's a LONG analysis, gg. Here's an excerpt:

    But except for labor, most other immigration advocates have not placed much emphasis on H-1B. That's in part because unlike unskilled agricultural workers, skilled engineers don't fit the public's image of the exploited "under-class." Moreover, since very few of these skilled workers are Latino, the main Latino advocacy groups don't see these workers as part of their ethnic constituency. But an increasing number of studies have shown that exploitation of the skilled foreign-born and the use of the H-1B program to displace American workers and depress native-born wages is a serious and growing problem.

    http://www.counterpunch.org/lawrence01212010.html
  5. George Chell's Avatar
    "But an increasing number of studies have shown that exploitation of the skilled foreign-born and the use of the H-1B program to displace American workers and depress native-born wages is a serious and growing problem."

    Obviously you are pretty narrow-minded and dont read much other than what you want to read about H1-B displacing American workers. 65,000 workers per year over a six year term comes to 390,000 workers. Nearly three times that number of jobs are going abroad to countries ranging from India to Australia...

    http://www.ctv.ca/generic/generated/static/business/article1437904.html

    http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9147258/IT_hiring_in_India_outpaces_U.S._

    So please dont talk about exploitation of Indian and displacement of American workers. If the antis were seriously interestested in stopping exploitation, they will speak out against jobs following a potential immigrant...they are not. They are more concerned about changing complexion of America...most antis are a bunch of RACISTS!


  6. My 2 cents's Avatar
    Greg,

    How does the Supreme Court ruling on election funding affect immigration. I bet there will be a lot of negative/attack ads if some legislation comes up.
  7. George Chell's Avatar
    Good ideas to send all the immigrants, jobs and tax revenue to Singapore, so that we can borrow more from that country int he future....

    http://www.mis-asia.com/news/articles/singapore-employment-market-looks-up-in-2010

    http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/singaporelocalnews/view/1032166/1/.html

    And good idea to send jobs to Australia too while they cut jobs here in the US...

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aEdgTWkDBMT8&pos=5

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&sid=aVtjTdB6CMec

    "Confidence is surging amid Australia's biggest hiring boom in more than three years, prompted by companies including Chevron Corp., which is expanding liquefied natural gas ventures in Western Australia to meet rising global demand for energy."

    May be in a few years we will be borrowing from Australia too.



  8. Greg Siskind's Avatar
    I'm sure that the case will impact immigration like every other policy area. Protectionist groups like the Programmers Guild and anti-immigration groups like FAIR will no doubt redirect their money directly to candidates. But pro-immigration groups and companies that depend on foreign labor for survival will no doubt do the same. I don't think we really know which side is better funded at this point.
  9. Subbu Iyer's Avatar
    C'mon Greg, do you really think protectionist groups can match the money that companies like Google, Intel and Microsoft can pump in ?
  10. My 2 cents's Avatar
    The major IT companies can have their say with pro-immigration ads & support. So this SC ruling could be a blessing in disguise for legal immigrants who have always been left out in the cold by Congress.
  11. Another Voice's Avatar
    While the money flow may help the immigration issue as far as companies and the US chamber of commerce is concern, worker's rights can really take a beating here amongst other things....that supreme court ruling was terrible!!
  12. George Chell's Avatar
    "do you really think protectionist groups can match the money that companies like Google, Intel and Microsoft can pump in ? "

    No!
  13. A's Avatar
    So now, Infosys and TCS can run ads against Durbin and Grassley?
  14. George Chell's Avatar
    "So now, Infosys and TCS can run ads against Durbin and Grassley?"

    Yes, according to many analysts. But, I do not know why they would, if they can hire someone really cheap back in India. Grassley will make sure that jobs move abroad and stay abroad and this works well for Infosys and others.
  15. Sid's Avatar
    "But, I do not know why they would, if they can hire someone really cheap back in India. "

    I would guess that for TCS/Infosys, the margins are much higher if they manage to get the work done in India Vs sending their engineers to work in the US.

    I can guarantee that if TCS/Infosys cannot send their on-site engineers on H-1B or L1 anymore because of Durbin-Grassley, they will be given long term visas for multiple short-term visits either by expanding the scope of B1 visas or by creating a new category. If that doesn't happen, India will kick out most American companies that have set up shop there.
  16. George Chell's Avatar
    "If that doesn't happen, India will kick out most American companies that have set up shop there."

    Dont think so...they will likely ask American corporations to move jobs from US to India, failing which they will kick them out. However, we all know how US corporations would react..they will move jobs to India.
  17. George Chell's Avatar
    Grassley-Durbin is not likely to come up for vote.
  18. gg's Avatar
    ALERT *****

    NEW BILL H RES 1026 introduced to ban leglization of illegals in any CIR ( 21 SPONSORS )

    READ MORE

    http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/bdquery/z?d111:h.res.01026:
  19. gg's Avatar
    H RES 1026 - No path to citizenship for illegals ..
  20. gg's Avatar
    H R 1026 has 8 democrat sponsors ... if my count is right
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