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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

JANUARY VISA BULLETIN OUT

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Here is my take on the latest Visa Bulletin. More forward movement in the family visa categories. A little forward movement in the employment numbers. Here are the highlights:

Family 1st - Advancement of worldwide, China and India numbers by nearly two years tp 01 April 2004. Mexico retrogresses six weeks to 15 August 1992 and the Philippines moves up six months to 1 December 1993.

Family 2A - Worldwide, India, China and the Philippines numbers advance almost a year and a half to 01 January 2006. Mexico jumps two and half years to 01 January 2004.

Family 2B - Worldwide, India and China numbers advances nearly two years to 01 December 2001. Mexico moves forward five weeks to 08 June 1992. The Philippines advance nearly a year to 01 July 1998.

Family 3rd - Ten month retrogression for Worldwide, India and China to 22 May 2001. Two week retrogression for Mexico to 15 September 1992. Six month advance for the Philippines to 01 December 1991.

Family 4th - Worldwide numbers and Chinese and Indian F-4 cutoff dates advance three weeks to 1 October 1999. Mexico moves one week to 22 November 1995. The Philippines moves five weeks to 1 May 1987.

Employment 1st - All categories remain current.

Employment 2nd - Worldwide, Mexico and the Philippines remain current. China advances 1 months to 1 May 2005. India is stalled at 22 January 2005.

Employment 3rd skilled/professional workers -  Worldwide, China and Filipino numbers advance two months to 1 August 2002. India advances seven weeks to 22 June 2001. Mexico advances one month to 1 July 2002.

Employment 3rd unskilled - All numbers remain stalled 1 June 2001.

Employment 4th - categories remain current.

EB-5 remains current.

There is also an interesting forecast at the end of the latest Visa Bulletin:

WHAT ARE THE PROJECTIONS FOR CUT-OFF DATE MOVEMENT IN THE EMPLOYMENT PREFERENCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF FY-2010?

Based on current indications of demand, the best case scenarios for cut-off dates which will be reached by the end of FY-2010 are as follows:

Employment Second:
China: July through October 2005
India: February through early March 2005

If Section 202(a)(5)were to apply:
China and India: October through December 2005

Employment Third:

Worldwide: April through August 2005
China: June through September 2003
India: January through February 2002
Mexico: January through June 2004
Philippines: April through August 2005

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Comments

  1. indian's Avatar
    Greg,
    There is some error in your take for the bulletin,as the F4 category for India has moved little less than a month ad not by 2 years as reported above.Same for China and ROW.
    Indian.
  2. Greg Siskind's Avatar
    Whoops. Thanks for the catch. I've made corrections and appreciate your letting me know.
  3. indian's Avatar
    Thank you Greg, for all you do for us immigrants.
    Indian
  4. Jerry Santos's Avatar
    Mr. Siskind, do you buy these forward movement predictions?

    Looks like smoke and mirrors to me. Pardon my ignorance, but I am EB3-ROW and I just cannot comprehend how they would move my cut-off date to 2005 by September, when they cannot even get past 2002 after the first 4 months of this fiscal year. I am starting to wonder if I will ever get my green card.
  5. legal-immigrant's Avatar
    "Employment 2nd - Worldwide, Mexico and the Philippines remain current. China advances 11 months to 1 May 2005. India advances nearly 18 months to 22 January 2005."

    Greg, EB2-I didn't move at all. I guess you're referring to some old bulletin.

  6. Greg Siskind's Avatar
    Thanks legal-immigrant. Fixed.
  7. George Chell's Avatar
    Still plenty of IT jobs available..if an American cannot land one of these even with qualifications, he or she is incompetent...

    http://hotjobs.yahoo.com/career-articles-the_top_5_hardest_jobs_to_fill_in_america-1057
  8. Jim's Avatar
    "if an American cannot land one of these even with qualifications, he or she is incompetent.."

    Or asking/expecting too much from their employer just like what American nurses are doing.

    Been hearing about American nurses asking their employers that they do their own unbelievable schedules such as they do not want to go on duty on weekends, night/graveyard shifts, no OTs even if colleagues suddenly called-in sick, and wants to be off in all holidays. They forget that being a nurse is a 24/7, 365 days a year gig and that staff should be rotating and receiving their fair share of getting those weekends, graveyard shifts and holidays.

    And they wonder why certain people are getting hired and not them??
  9. George Chell's Avatar
    Thankful that EB1 is current for everyone. Cannot afford to fall back on innovation!
  10. Terry Florence's Avatar
    I hope we can continue some of this forward movement to speed up the green card visa process for those that have been waiting their turn patiently.
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