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Chris Musillo on Nurse and Allied Health Immigration

VISA BULLETIN PROJECTIONS FOR 2013

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by Chris Musillo


Charles Oppenheim of the Department of State is the person
most responsible for
each month's Visa
Bulletin
.  In a conversation with
AILA
, Mr. Oppenheim recently discussed projections for future Visa
Bulletins.  MU Law has spoken with Mr.
Oppenheim several times in the past and have always found that his projections
are well thought out and very accurate.



Here are some important notes from that conversation:


  • India EB2 will see very little movement in the
    foreseeable future.  Many immigrant
    visa applicants with old India EB3s are recapturing these dates in
    subsequent EB2 applications, thereby holding back the progression of India
    EB2.  Current numbers indicate that
    there are approximately 42,000 India EB2 cases in line with priority dates
    prior to May 2010.  These numbers
    cannot account for future upgraded India EB3s.

  • The USCIS and DOS have pre-adjudicated 44,000
    India EB-3 Applications with priority dates before August 2007.  Therefore it will be several years
    before India EB-3 progresses beyond that date.

  • There are 12,000 India EB3 cases with priority
    dates before January 2004, which means that India EB3 will not improve
    into 2004 for at least one or two years.

  • Worldwide EB-3 has 42,000 pre-adjudicated cases
    with priority dates before March 2007.  Still, the Worldwide EB-3 date is May
    2007.  Mr. Oppenheim did not say it,
    but it reasonable follows that many of these 42,000 Worldwide EB-3s likely
    have been abandoned.



        
Because it is impossible to predict how many
EB2s are upgraded to EB2, it is nearly impossible to predict future dates.  For instance, Worldwide EB3 had 1,100
upgrades in December 2012.  In 2007,
there were only 72 upgrades for the entire year. 




Read the Musillo Unkenholt Healthcare and Immigration Law Blog at www.musillo.com or www.ilw.com.  
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Comments

  1. jkl's Avatar
    Does it mean that EB3ROW could be advanced faster soon? Also this article , does it take into acount the spillower of visa number from FB that recently everybody is talking about ono the internet? Any comment? Thank you.
  2. Chris Musillo's Avatar
    It could but I wouldn't read too much into it. Also, it is unclear at this time how much if any spillover there will be from FB.
  3. Ian's Avatar
    Hi Chris,

    Did Mr. Oppenheim mention anything about EB3 Philippines?

    Thanks,
    Ian
  4. Chris Musillo's Avatar
    @ Ian - Unfortunately nothing specific about the Phils.
  5. Backlogged's Avatar
    Chris, any mention on family based visa movement,especially F2A? Or the fact on the effect of spillover of FB to EB from FY2012?
  6. Chris Musillo's Avatar
    @Backlogged - no real information on Family numbers other than that Family demand is higher this year and so it will move slower in future months.
  7. Bryan Training's Avatar
    It's gonna be a long wait then. Still, there's a hope.
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