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If CIR Fails in Congress, Don't Blame Syria. By Roger Algase

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In my latest post, I suggested that the national focus on Syria to the exclusion of all else could be fatal for the passage of CIR, because Congress would simply not have the time to return to the immigration issue this fall. However, it is more likely that even if the Syrian crisis were miraculously solved tomorrow, the House will never find time to return to CIR as long as the chamber is controlled by Republicans.

A September 3 WSJ article, House GOP Puts Immigration on Back Burner, says the following:

"House leaders will check in with lawmakers returning to Washington next week to see if there is a groundswell for action [on immigration reform]. But absent an unexpected reversal, advocates of an overhaul are predicting action may have to wait until 2014."

But even waiting until next year may be optimistic. A September 4 POLITICO article, Epic Fall(s) states:

"In the next two months, the most unpopular institution in America will decide the fates of the president's power, a military strike, defense contracts, the budget, health-care implementation, the Federal Reserve chairmanship, illegal immigrants, and all of us who would be hit by a debt default.

"It will be bitter, ugly, extremely high stakes and in every case wildly unpredictable."

On immigration, the article has this to say:

"The fall must-do list for Congress was already so crowded that House Republicans were spreading the word that there was unlikely to be tine to finish an immigration package - a handy, albeit accurate excuse. Until a few weeks ago, Hill strategists in both parties had said they thought immigration had a chance in 2015. Now, the smart money is on 2017."
(Emphasis added.)

One might ask, why so early as 2017? Why not 2027 - or 2037? The reality is that, with the Republicans in control in the House, immigration reform doesn't need Syria, or a calendar crowded with other issues, to be killed off. It it perfectly well able to die by itself.

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Updated 09-06-2013 at 09:41 PM by ImmigrationLawBlogs

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