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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

TIME Magazine Poll: Immigration Reform Won't Hurt Republicans

Rating: 2 votes, 5.00 average.
From Time:

A new survey could ease Republican fears that proceeding with immigration reform would alienate GOP voters.

The poll, conducted by Texas Republican firm Baselice & Associates and paid for by the Michael Bloomberg-sponsored pro-reform group Partnership for a New American Economy, found that there is no measurable drop in voter turnout when comparing the immigration positions of three Texas congressional Republicans. The poll focused on three districts with GOP incumbents: Rep. Sam Johnson, who is supportive of immigration reform, Rep. Lamar Smith, who is against it, and Rep. Kevin Brady, who is on the fence. Support of or opposition to immigration reform didn’t impact voter support at the polls, according to the survey.

The results cut against Republican concerns that passing immigration reform will keep their base voters away from the polls this fall, and indicates that the economy and the health care reform law are the key issues driving voters.

This poll is just the latest report warning mainstream GOP members that they should not buy the argument of extremists in the party trying to convince them that their views are widely held even with base GOP supporters. Even those opposing immigration reform in the GOP don't usually make it a litmus test for supporting a candidate. Those that do, according to many polls, amount to only a small number of individuals.

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Comments

  1. ImmigrationLawBlogs's Avatar
    If the House Republicans were interested in paying any attention to reason or reality, immigration reform would have passed a long time ago.

    But as the totally accurate cliche goes, immigration is governed primarily by emotion, not rational considerations.

    That has been the case from the beginning of immigration in America, and it is still the case now.

    Bigotry has a life and staying power of its own. It will take a lot more polling, and probably many more elections, to counter its effects.

    Roger Algase
  2. Jack2's Avatar
    Support of or opposition to immigration reform didn’t impact voter support at the polls, according to the survey.
    That's sponsored by biased Bloomberg and has the same old misleading bait to juice the results. ABC News-Washington Post continually asks about the most straightforward immigration poll questions out there.

    March 2014 Post-ABC national poll: Politics, 2014 midterms, gay marriage

    Q: If a candidate for U.S. Congress supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote?

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2014/03/04/National-Politics/Polling/question_13272.xml?uuid=TWpSmqNaEeO4ZTiyVNkgYw#

    "Less likely" is actually up among all registered voters as well as Republicans: 60% less likely vs. 14% more likely.


    the argument of extremists in the party trying to convince them that their views are widely held even with base GOP supporters.
    Would you say that supports a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants

    is widely held by base Democrat supporters? Well, according to ABC-WaPo, only 42% of registered Democrats are more likely to vote for a candidate who supports "pathway to citizenship." Looks more like it's establishment Democrat extremism which isn't selling that well with the base. They can't even muster a majority vs. 60% of Republicans who say their likelihood of voting for you would be affected.
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