Home Page


Immigration Daily

Archives

RSS feed

Processing times

Immigration forms

Discussion board

Resources

Blogs

Twitter feed

Immigrant Nation

Attorney2Attorney

CLE Seminars

CLE Workshops

Immigration books

Classifieds

Advertise

VIP Lawyer Network

EB-5

High Net Worth

Custom Content

Dubai Events

Find HNW People

Custom Events

Custom Services

Professional Services

About ILW.COM

Connect to us

Careers

Make us Homepage

Questions/Comments


SUBSCRIBE




ilw.com VIP


The leading
immigration law
publisher - over
50000 pages of
free information!
Copyright
1995-2014
ILW.COM,
American
Immigration LLC.

View RSS Feed

Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill

Rating: 7 votes, 5.00 average.
House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi will introduce a discharge petition today to try and force a floor vote on HR 15, the bipartisan comprehensive immigration reform bill that resembles the Senate immigration bill passed last summer. If a majority of members of the House sign the petition, then the bill would come up for a vote on the House floor. Many believe that the bill would garner majority support if it came up for a vote there.

But 20 to 25 Republicans would need to sign the discharge petition for it to work and most believe that even Republicans who support immigration reform efforts won't sign the petition. The reason - a discharge petition would be seen as a betrayal of Speaker Boehner.

So why bother? For one, it serves as a reminder to the public and, in particular, to the country's Latino community, that there is a solution to the country's immigration mess on the table and Republicans are doing nothing on the issue. The Republicans have been repeating since the Senate passed its bill that it would do things the House way and pass piecemeal immigration bills. But there is little evidence anything is happening on the House side. No bills are being introduced and none of the ones that were passed by the Judiciary Committee last year are coming up for floor votes in the House anytime soon (except an extremely anti-immigrant measure to kill the ICE public advocate measure). Republicans are banking on the fact that they have time on the immigration issue and spending 100% of their time for the rest of the year bashing Obamacare is a smart strategy.

Perhaps. But even if this short term goal helps in the 2014 midterm elections, they are probably dooming the chances of any of their candidates in 2016 as the Latino vote will be one to two million votes stronger and 1 to 2% greater as a portion of the electorate. The longer the Republicans take and the more reluctant they appear to deal with immigration reform, the worse the party's image will be with Latino voters. If Hilary Clinton or whoever is the Democratic nominee simply matches President Obama's 2012 percentage of Latino voters, assuming the rest of the electorate votes in a similar way, she will easily win the election.

Many still believe Speaker Boehner will bring up immigration reform in the next one to two months now that the GOP primary season is largely over. That would be wise. As I pointed out in my post yesterday, there's no evidence that base GOP voters would stay home in November if he did this and he could begin to repair the damage to the GOP brand. But even if he brings up immigration reform, if the emphasis is all on enforcement and it appears that a legalization program is half-hearted and the GOP tries to reduce family immigration numbers, the party will see little benefit. Voting for immigration reform holding your nose is not the way to win back the hearts of pro-immigrant voters.

Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to Facebook Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to Twitter Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to Google Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to StumbleUpon Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to Reddit Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to Digg Submit "House Democrats Seek Discharge Petition on Immigration Reform Bill" to del.icio.us

Tags: None Add / Edit Tags

Comments

  1. Jack2's Avatar
    I do not see the logic of the establishment Republicans' theory. If only a handful of Republicans vote for a mass legalization bill which passes, it is doubtful that the party (including presidential candidates) will get any broad credit with single issue pro-amnesty voters--just the few Republicans who voted for it. Since mass legalization/pathway is so unpopular with the GOP base, it presumably would pass with close to the minimum of Republicans needed. Democrats would take the credit and say that WE got it passed in spite of the vast majority of Republicans who opposed it. A follow up amnesty is already next on the open border agenda and the GOP bashing and demagoguery will not let up unless suddenly the whole GOP starts going along with every new amnesty. Even if they did, there are other issues to attack them on which appeal to the typical pro-amnesty voter. The pander argument is based on improving the prospects of GOP presidential candidates but voters presumably judge a presidential candidate on his or her own position anyway. Then there is the potential downside conveniently never factored in...

    Given that there aren't just a lot more anti-mass legalization/pathway voters (mostly Republicans) but they also have greater intensity (according to polling), there would seem to be more of them for whom the issue is a litmus test than pro-amnesty. A politician's immigration position thus has more potential to alienate and lose the vote of the pro-rule of law voter than the reward illegality voter. Thus, if the WaPo poll is right, Democrats are winning elections in spite of their immigration position, not because of it. Now they are openly admitting their extreme, anti-democratic completely ignore the law position and the "more likely/less likely" immigration poll is actually ticking up for rule of law.

    It does not seem to make political sense to chase the votes of people highly unlikely to vote for you for other reasons while throwing away the votes of those who would be easy votes but for your pro-CIR position/vote. Of course, this might also be on a candidate by candidate basis so that only the perceived sell out Republicans pay the price. I.e., if CIR were to pass, it won't be a panacea for the GOP but it also would not immediately destroy it. Of course, passage would set the wheels in motion for millions of future Democrats. Why do you think Democrats unanimously voted yes for that crap Senate bill? Because it had a mass legalization which allowed for naturalization, duh.
  2. Saam's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack2
    I do not see the logic of the establishment Republicans' theory. If only a handful of Republicans vote for a mass legalization bill which passes, it is doubtful that the party (including presidential candidates) will get any broad credit with single issue pro-amnesty voters--just the few Republicans who voted for it. .
    Yes. GOP will not get credit unless majority of them vote it. Even then democrats will take a credit as they point out that GOP had put tough conditions and we opposed that. Always democrats will be winner i of most Latino votes whether immigration reform passed or not. Both parties need to take politics out of table and need to pass common sense immigration bill. The increase of immigration should be based on need but not based on whoever wants to come. Senate bill is trying to give green card and guest visa to everyone who wants to come.
  3. marsha goodman's Avatar
    I am a certified and a registered financial service lender i give out loan of all kinds in a very fast and easy way, Home financial service , Student financial service , Business financial service , Investor financial service etc.i offer financial service to every individuals, firms, and company that are in need of financial assistance i in a low interest rate of 3%. Dear readers you should note that this offer is for serious minded individual, firms and companies.Do not let this opportunity pass you by.get your finances to solve your financial problems.email
    fasterloanservice@gmail.com
Leave Comment Leave Comment
Put Free Immigration Law Headlines On Your Website

Immigration Daily: the news source for legal professionals. Free! Join 35000+ readers Enter your email address here: