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Greg Siskind on Immigration Law and Policy

New Poll Highlights Existential Risks to GOP if They Blow it on Immigration

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Yesterday, the day the House voted to defund DACA, a new poll of Latino voters commissioned by America's Voice and conducted by Latino Decisions (which predicted with extreme accuracy the results of the 2012 election). If you're a master strategist for the GOP trying to figure out how to win back the White House and the Senate, you have to be worried about the folks in the House. We know that Latino voters increasing percent of the electorate coupled with their steady drift to the Democrats has cost the GOP dearly. We wouldn't be debating immigration reform today if that weren't obvious.


On the question of whether we should have all of the border security benchmarks be met before a legalization program begins, only 13% agreed with this while 81% thought both should happen together as is the case with the Senate bill. 58% of Latino voters now rate immigration as the most important issue needing to be addressed versus 38% who mentioned the economy. That's almost a complete flip from when the same question was asked last November. 78% said it was important or extremely important that immigration reform happen this year. And those polled would blame the GOP by a 4 to 1 margin if reform fails.


The good news for the GOP is that if they do the right thing and support immigration reform, a whole lot of Latino voters would be willing to consider voting for them again. 45% said they would be more likely to vote Republican in the future if they help pass an immigration bill. That matters because right now, the Democrats hold an almost 45 point lead over Republicans heading in to the 2014 congressional elections.

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  1. Jack's Avatar
    "On the question of whether we should have all of the border security benchmarks be met before a legalization program begins, only 13% agreed with this while 81% thought both should happen together as is the case with the Senate bill."

    Legalization begins first with the senate bill.

  2. George Chell's Avatar
    A true statement by Jack for a change.
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