October 2012 Visa Bulletin Update

[Note: I've corrected the 2013 date originally shown in the title - what took you guys so long to point out the typo? :-)]

Thanks to Nicolette Davis at our firm for her assistance with this chart:

Family 1st - World numbers, China and India advanced one week to 08 October 05; Mexico advanced one week to 15 June 93; the Philippines jumped one year, three months and three weeks to 01 April 96.

Family 2A – World numbers, China, India, and the Philippines advanced three weeks to 01 June 10; Mexico jumped one month to 15 May 10.

Family 2B - World numbers, China, and India are stalled at 15 September 04; Mexico moved forward five weeks and a half to 01 October 92; the Philippines advanced three weeks to 22 January 02.

Family 3rd – World numbers, China, and India moved forward one week to 22 May 02; Mexico moved forward two weeks and a half to 08 February 93; the Philippines remains stalled at 22 July 92.

Family 4th – World numbers, China moved forward three weeks and a half to 15 February 01; India advanced one week to 15 March 01; Mexico moved forward one week to 22 June 96; the Philippines advanced one week to 08 February 89.

Employment 1st – still current in all categories.

Employment 2nd – World numbers, Mexico, and the Philippines jumped forward three years at 01 January 12; China regressed one month to 15 July 07; India regressed to 01 September 04.

Employment 3rd – World numbers, Mexico advanced three weeks to 22 October 06; the Philippines stalled at 01 August 06; China moved almost six weeks to 08 February 06; India advanced one week to 15 October 02.

Employment 3rd Other Workers – World numbers, Mexico moved forward three weeks to 22 October 06; the Philippines stalled at 01 August 06; China stalled at 22 June 03; one week advance for India to 15 October 02.

Employment 4th – still current in all categories.

Employment 5th – still current in all categories.

Comments

[Paul Wilson]

@John

Well, it is FY 2013...

[John]

http://blogs.ilw.com/gregsiskind/2012/09/october-2013-visa-bulletin-update.html

OCTOBER "2013" YOUR GETTING AHEAD OF YOURSELVES..

[Paul Wilson]

Not very surprising. After breaking the law last year and giving an unprecedented number of the EB-2 visas to India (way more than 7% despite the lack of spill-over numbers), USCIS now has to clear the backlog of legitimate EB2-World cases that were accumulating in Q4 when EB2-World was retrogressed. Adding porting of EB-3 to EB-2 and you can easily get the picture why EB2-India is at 2004 and EB2-World is still retrogressed...

The moral of the story to EB2-India: there is no free lunch!

And to USCIS: don't break the law!

[JC]

And all the predictions for EB2I/C being current by this time already!

@SR: How are people inferring that this demand data is not junk? Based on numbers compared to previous published numbers or USCIS/INS said something about them?

[SR]

It is important to read the cut-off dates along with the Demand Data with the recognition that, finally, there appears to be Demand Data that is not complete junk! It isn't that bad, cumulative demand for EB2-India until Jan 09 is 20,000. Considering that 30,000+ GCs were issued to EB2-I in the last fin year, one expects the 2004 date to move fwd to 2007/2008 fairly swiftly during the current year. Assuming that the Eb3 to EB2 porting demand stays within reasonable limits, it really isn't that bad, as long as "fall-down" and "spillover" continue to occur.

[Jared]

EB2 India goes back to 2004??????????? Wow!!!!! Talk about a broken system!!!!

[Sa]

Good luck to all who are current. Looks like it will be a long wait for lot of folks.